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I think the mainstream crowd is having their needs fulfilled with status-like features in facebook, linkedin, and myspace. The concept of status checking IS mainstream but a standalone product like twitter has yet to provide immediate value to mainstream users.
Hmmm, would love to find some stats on Twitter's user count over time.
The other day I was trying to convince a friend that the Ning site I created for him was better than the $1500 static site he was about to purchase. I talked about the ability to comment, build relationships, and have constant updates. He wasn't buying.
I talked about how the under 30 crowd is eschewing email for other communication links. However, this was a paradigm shift his barely keeping up with email mind wasn't ready to grasp yet.
It isn't Twitter that has failed, it is just that so many of us on Twitter are so far ahead of the curve, as early adopters, that Twitter is now old and we want the next new thing. Sometimes us early adopters have to pause and let the world catch up.
BTW, I'm an avid user of Twitter and I'm not "tech, design, or PR" I derive much benefit from Twitter - and at least here in PDX, we have community.
He says: "Google was a very good search engine for two years before you started using it."
See? Hope for Twitter! :)
There will come a time when there’s a tipping point for micro-blogging, which will be lead by Twitter.
Btw.. I don't fit into Tech, Design or PR... I direct the news at a tv station (who does not twitter, btw... in fact, it's blocked from our network.)
[Edited to correct grammar]
Completely agree with what you say here, even if it's elicited a bit of disagreement from my fellow commenters. I think the main problem with Twitter remains this: no matter how simple Twitter as a concept is, it's still much too hard to explain its purpose to potential users. And that's partly because those niche groups you mention all use it for a slightly different purpose.
People need to see a real benefit to Twitter before they'll use it. And, as foreign as it may seem to early adopters, most people just don't give a flying crap.
I can definitely agree with this statement.
In my observation for some mainstream folks the idea of signing up for yet another network to invite friends, etc... Is just a little too much right now even for something as simple as Twitter.
It is a firehose and for that reason will likely shift thinking on measures of socnet success from traffic based to influence based. check cnn and cspan for mainstream influence.
First, is that Twitter is such novel concept it is going to take longer to catch on anyway. Also, it's growth has been phenomenal and it has been reported in the mainstream press. So it is being noticed.
Second, it has had considerably scalability problems which may have inhibited growth but more to the point has helped competitors such as Plurk and identi.ca. So a more meaningful analysis would be of the microblogging space generally and how this is growing and evolving. I suspect that a closer inspection would show that the recent growth could not have been sustained if the usage was only among techies and geeks, but that regular users are using it too.
Failure? ... Hardly.
Not main stream? .. of course, we're just getting started
Either the tweens haven't found out about it yet or they're not interested
In the meantime, I am enjoying connecting with other DotComPreneurs
http://www.Twitter.com/jillkoenig
I see its increasing growth in its application to status feeds on websites, and its benefit as a social media optimisation tool. Perhaps Twitter will simply be relegated to that: a search engine optimisation phenomena only utilised for website promotion?
We'll see. Meanwhile, I will continue to use ping.fm and watch which "status update" service (e.g. "Pownce") gets the limelight.
It's an exciting time to be on the Web, eh?!